In an article published on 4 June, the analysis website Stratfor argues that it is highly unlikely that Libyan elections will be held in 2018. The article draws on the recent political developments, the non-binding agreement concluded between Libya’s major political figures in Paris on 29 May to hold elections by December 2018, arguing that the chances of success of elections are very low due to the country’s lack of unity. Stating that Western powers are forcibly pushing for elections, the author foresees two potential outcomes: either Libya will be unable to hold elections, or elections will be held but their results will be widely rejected. For the author of the article, the elections are a gamble with Libya’s future and could deepen the prevailing instability instead of allowing for the stabilisation of the country.To read the article in full click here.
The impossible challenge of Libyan elections