On 4 March, Libya-Analysis Founder Jason Pack published an article in New Lines Magazine arguing that further escalation in Ukraine can be averted by pivoting from negotiations to deterrence and the West must explicitly state its redlines. Drawing on his experience as a semiprofessional gambler, Pack observes that Putin’s aggressive brinkmanship diplomacy closely resembles high-stakes poker in that it requires one to take big gambles based on imperfect information and iterative interactions with a familiar adversary. He calls for major Western leaders to hold a joint news conference spelling out their exact redlines, laying out all the financial, cyber, and nuclear retaliation.
Read the article here.